Race 11B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Connor Bennett 6.8% 9.9% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 7.1% 6.9% 6.8% 7.3% 7.6% 5.3% 5.6% 5.4% 3.6% 3.0% 1.1%
Katharine Doble 12.0% 11.8% 9.7% 9.5% 9.0% 7.5% 8.3% 6.6% 6.2% 5.5% 4.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Luke Zylinski 7.3% 5.6% 7.0% 6.8% 7.2% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 8.1% 8.7% 7.6% 7.4% 6.2% 2.8% 3.5% 1.9%
Connor Rosow 6.8% 8.7% 8.5% 6.7% 8.7% 6.9% 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 6.3% 6.0% 5.2% 5.9% 2.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Alex Adams 6.5% 6.8% 6.8% 7.3% 7.1% 9.3% 6.6% 5.6% 7.9% 6.2% 7.3% 7.5% 6.3% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7%
Diogo Silva 3.3% 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.3% 5.8% 5.9% 4.9% 7.2% 8.1% 5.8% 9.6% 9.6% 8.4% 7.5%
Ava Anderson 13.1% 9.5% 11.9% 9.2% 8.7% 7.9% 9.4% 6.3% 6.2% 5.6% 4.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Ben Hosford 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 2.6% 3.3% 2.3% 4.2% 5.1% 4.1% 6.4% 6.6% 6.5% 7.3% 11.9% 16.4% 14.8%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 11.5% 12.9% 11.3% 10.2% 7.7% 9.5% 7.7% 7.4% 5.1% 4.7% 4.2% 2.6% 2.4% 1.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Emma Wang 3.2% 4.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.7% 8.1% 10.1% 12.0% 13.4% 9.1%
Adam Strobridge 5.0% 4.8% 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 7.5% 5.8% 6.6% 9.3% 8.0% 10.4% 7.6% 4.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.6% 4.8% 5.0% 6.1% 7.1% 6.8% 5.0% 8.1% 6.1% 6.5% 6.3% 7.9% 6.7% 7.7% 6.8% 3.5%
Nathan Selian 3.6% 3.7% 5.8% 6.1% 5.0% 5.6% 6.4% 6.4% 6.6% 7.0% 8.4% 7.6% 7.4% 9.3% 7.2% 3.9%
Jed Lory 7.6% 6.3% 7.6% 8.3% 7.5% 8.1% 8.7% 6.9% 7.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.7% 5.2% 3.9% 2.6% 0.7%
Nathan Hyde 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 1.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.6% 5.5% 5.3% 9.3% 12.6% 46.5%
Olivia Lowthian 3.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 4.9% 5.5% 5.7% 7.5% 6.5% 7.0% 8.2% 7.2% 9.1% 7.9% 9.9% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.