Race 12B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Ava Anderson 12.1% 13.3% 10.9% 10.1% 10.4% 7.3% 8.5% 6.6% 4.5% 5.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Emma Wang 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 4.6% 4.1% 4.0% 4.2% 7.2% 5.2% 5.4% 7.9% 10.2% 10.6% 12.0% 10.7%
Connor Rosow 8.4% 7.4% 8.4% 8.8% 6.7% 8.6% 8.2% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 5.8% 4.9% 4.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.7%
Katharine Doble 10.6% 11.2% 9.1% 8.7% 10.2% 9.1% 8.5% 6.4% 5.3% 5.3% 5.1% 4.7% 2.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Nathan Hyde 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.6% 5.3% 5.3% 8.6% 14.0% 44.7%
Luke Zylinski 5.8% 5.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 6.9% 6.4% 7.4% 6.5% 7.5% 6.6% 6.8% 7.1% 4.1% 4.2% 1.6%
Jed Lory 7.7% 8.4% 5.7% 7.5% 6.7% 6.9% 6.5% 7.4% 7.9% 6.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.0% 4.0% 3.4% 1.3%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 12.7% 11.0% 12.5% 9.0% 9.0% 7.9% 9.1% 7.4% 6.9% 3.8% 4.5% 2.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 4.0% 5.9% 4.1% 5.3% 3.9% 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 7.4% 6.2% 8.5% 7.9% 8.1% 8.1% 7.5% 5.2%
Alex Adams 6.9% 6.2% 6.3% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 8.8% 6.8% 8.2% 8.1% 6.5% 5.6% 4.8% 3.2% 0.9%
Adam Strobridge 5.2% 4.9% 4.2% 5.2% 4.7% 4.7% 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 7.8% 6.3% 7.5% 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 4.9%
Diogo Silva 4.7% 3.3% 4.3% 5.2% 4.3% 6.3% 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 7.3% 7.7% 10.3% 9.9% 6.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.0% 5.1% 6.8% 6.6% 5.7% 6.4% 5.8% 7.4% 7.6% 7.7% 6.8% 8.0% 6.6% 5.9% 6.9% 2.7%
Connor Bennett 7.5% 7.1% 9.2% 7.2% 8.6% 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 6.7% 7.2% 6.8% 6.4% 4.3% 3.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Olivia Lowthian 4.8% 3.3% 4.2% 3.8% 5.1% 6.9% 6.0% 5.2% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 8.0% 9.4% 9.9% 9.3% 3.9%
Ben Hosford 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 4.1% 4.3% 4.0% 4.2% 7.0% 6.6% 9.9% 12.8% 15.4% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.