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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.77+8.61vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+3.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+3.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+2.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.76vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.75+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.24-1.98vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-1.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.88+0.36vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.08-1.27vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.68-1.05vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.83-5.76vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.82+1.02vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.37-3.07vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.21vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.01-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.54Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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6.55Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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8.73Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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14.02Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.93Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.79SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.17Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Andy Yu | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 47.9% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 22.9% | 21.3% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.