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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+3.85vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+3.60vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.77+6.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+2.45vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.37+6.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-0.20vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-0.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.68+1.96vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.82+4.94vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.72vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77-4.65vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.75-5.56vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.08-4.38vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.83-7.95vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.84vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.88-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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5.6Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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11.09Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.96Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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13.94Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.72SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.35Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.44Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.05College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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12.16Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 14.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 6.8% |
| Andy Yu | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 46.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 17.4% | 21.3% | 20.8% |
| Jack Flores | 10.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 14.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.