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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+4.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.77+7.65vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.75+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24+1.03vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+0.46vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.23+5.70vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.68+1.93vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08-0.39vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-4.33vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.83-4.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-5.62vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.88-3.59vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.82-0.03vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.37-3.84vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.01-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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9.65Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.42Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.66Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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12.7SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.67Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.17College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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9.41Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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13.97Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.16Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.16Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 22.8% | 23.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 43.3% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 8.2% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.