Race 8A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luke Hosek 11.8% 11.3% 12.2% 12.8% 13.2% 12.7% 11.7% 8.2% 4.9% 1.3%
Adrian Winkelman 14.1% 13.7% 14.8% 12.8% 12.8% 11.3% 10.4% 6.3% 2.7% 1.1%
Nathan Selian 12.2% 12.8% 15.8% 14.3% 11.9% 11.6% 11.0% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Matias Martin 10.0% 11.4% 11.8% 13.1% 12.5% 13.6% 11.6% 9.0% 6.1% 1.0%
Laura Hamilton 22.7% 21.1% 15.8% 14.1% 11.1% 6.9% 4.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Jake Weinstein 15.2% 14.0% 14.1% 12.1% 13.5% 11.5% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9%
Grace Bray 6.6% 6.3% 6.2% 7.8% 10.3% 10.7% 14.0% 15.8% 13.2% 9.2%
Patrick York 2.7% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 5.0% 7.8% 10.8% 16.8% 22.9% 21.8%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.0% 2.5% 1.9% 3.8% 4.2% 5.7% 7.5% 12.6% 19.9% 39.9%
William Roberts 2.8% 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 8.3% 9.1% 15.2% 23.7% 24.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.