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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+4.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+3.12vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+3.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+0.12vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86-0.26vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81-2.22vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-5.06vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.37vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21-4.41vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.04-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.12Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.71Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.73University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Haley Powell | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 8.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 22.6% | 14.7% |
| Ann Sager | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.