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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.01+4.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+6.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+3.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.68+6.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.99vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.83+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.24-1.65vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.75-1.37vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.77+1.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-3.22vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-4.99vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00-6.01vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.37-1.62vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.06vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-2.48vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.94Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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6.99Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.63Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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10.01Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.99Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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11.38Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.94SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.52Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Yasar Akin | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Connor Macken | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Jack Flores | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Andy Yu | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 27.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 21.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.