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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.08+7.92vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.23+10.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+3.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.24+0.27vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.37+5.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-0.27vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.00-2.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.77+1.08vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-4.04vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.83-4.49vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.68-1.61vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-7.00vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.75-7.39vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-2.47vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.87SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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11.45Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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5.84Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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10.08Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.96Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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6.61Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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12.53Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 3.4% | 2.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 28.2% |
| Jack Flores | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Connor Macken | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 10.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Andy Yu | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.