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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+4.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+4.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00+2.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.08vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+1.03vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.08+3.03vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.77+2.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-1.55vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+3.19vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-4.04vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.79vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-5.33vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.75-6.31vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.82+0.05vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.37-3.65vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.68-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.34College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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9.03Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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12.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.96Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.79SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.69Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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14.05Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.35Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 13.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 22.4% | 23.0% |
| Jack Flores | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 45.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 7.6% |
| Yasar Akin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.