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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+5.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+4.42vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00+2.89vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24+1.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.99vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.77+3.00vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.75-1.38vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08-0.12vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.68-0.82vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.01-6.07vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.37-1.77vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-7.48vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-2.65vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.82-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.62Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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12.85SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.93Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.23Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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12.35Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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14.18Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andy Yu | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 22.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
| Jack Flores | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 20.8% | 15.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.