Race 3A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Natalie Salk 11.4% 12.2% 10.0% 12.1% 13.0% 10.0% 8.2% 7.9% 7.2% 4.6% 2.7% 0.7%
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.4% 13.7% 11.0% 10.1% 10.9% 9.9% 9.4% 7.5% 6.8% 6.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Morgan Russom 7.3% 5.6% 5.8% 7.7% 7.0% 9.2% 9.6% 8.7% 13.5% 10.7% 11.0% 3.9%
Haley Powell 6.5% 7.0% 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% 8.7% 9.4% 12.0% 8.1% 9.7% 9.7% 3.4%
Claire Dennis 12.3% 11.8% 13.4% 11.7% 9.5% 8.9% 10.4% 6.7% 6.0% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8%
Stephanie Hudson 12.4% 13.1% 11.4% 11.1% 11.4% 9.7% 9.8% 8.3% 5.5% 5.0% 1.4% 0.9%
Hanna Vincent 11.8% 12.4% 12.6% 10.5% 9.1% 10.5% 8.7% 8.3% 7.3% 4.8% 3.0% 1.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.6% 7.7% 7.3% 7.1% 7.5% 9.0% 9.6% 10.6% 10.5% 9.8% 9.6% 3.7%
Ann Sager 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 5.0% 8.0% 14.7% 59.7%
Chandler Salisbury 10.0% 8.7% 12.1% 8.4% 10.0% 10.4% 8.7% 9.4% 9.8% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7%
Erica Lush 3.3% 2.2% 3.8% 5.6% 4.5% 4.9% 6.3% 7.9% 10.2% 15.4% 20.8% 15.1%
Lauren Cefali 5.0% 4.4% 3.7% 6.3% 6.5% 6.7% 7.5% 10.2% 10.1% 13.0% 18.3% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.