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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+2.81vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.00+1.70vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.10+2.35vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.79+3.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.24-1.80vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.46-0.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.57vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.02-2.24vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.47-0.57vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.45-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Roger Williams University0.9418.1%1st Place
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3.7Connecticut College1.0018.4%1st Place
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5.35Boston University0.108.9%1st Place
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7.48Salve Regina University-0.792.7%1st Place
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3.2Brown University1.2423.2%1st Place
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5.16Northeastern University0.468.5%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.137.2%1st Place
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5.76Northwestern University-0.027.3%1st Place
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8.43Northwestern University-1.471.6%1st Place
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6.68Princeton University-0.454.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jakub Fuja | 18.1% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
William Hurd | 18.4% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Renato Korzinek | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
Sean Morrison | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 22.4% |
Kaitlyn Hamilton | 23.2% | 21.8% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Aidan Boni | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
Robert Finora | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
Cole Abbott | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 5.2% |
Marguerite Eno | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 49.5% |
Berkley Yiu | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.