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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+2.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32+1.80vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.46+0.63vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.10+1.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05-3.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-0.46vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.26-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.08Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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2.18Brown University3.050.4%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
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3.27Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 12.1% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Everett Nash | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 6.8% |
| Jack Crager | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 26.1% | 43.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 39.0% | 28.2% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 26.0% | 40.8% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 18.3% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.