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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+1.15vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+2.07vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+0.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.93-0.14vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.46-0.36vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.10+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.32-2.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Brown University3.050.4%1st Place
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4.07Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.29Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.64Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 42.0% | 26.2% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 18.1% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Clark Morris | 11.7% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Jack Crager | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 5.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 22.2% | 44.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 8.9% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 1.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 29.9% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.