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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+3.02vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+1.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.93+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.32+0.87vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.10+1.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.46-2.33vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.28Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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3.82Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
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4.67Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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2.17Brown University3.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 10.7% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 2.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 16.8% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 12.5% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 14.1% | 7.7% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 25.7% | 43.7% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 24.7% | 38.1% |
| Jack Crager | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 6.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 41.1% | 26.5% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.