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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+1.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.93+1.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+0.28vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.79+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32-0.11vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.10+0.64vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-0.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.46-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Brown University3.050.4%1st Place
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3.85Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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3.28Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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4.07Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
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4.55Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 41.1% | 27.6% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 11.9% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 18.0% | 19.5% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Everett Nash | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 23.2% | 43.4% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 28.1% | 39.6% |
| Jack Crager | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.