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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+1.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.93+1.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+0.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.79+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32-0.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.46-1.43vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.10-0.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Brown University3.050.4%1st Place
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3.85Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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3.3Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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4.08Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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4.57Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 41.7% | 26.0% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 11.4% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 17.4% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Everett Nash | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 15.5% | 6.6% |
| Jack Crager | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 6.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 24.6% | 46.1% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 15.1% | 27.4% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.