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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+2.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32+1.79vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26-0.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.10+1.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05-3.83vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.79-2.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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3.32Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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2.17Brown University3.050.4%1st Place
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4.11Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 13.5% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Jack Crager | 7.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 6.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 6.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 16.9% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 23.1% | 45.9% |
| Blake Behrens | 39.7% | 26.9% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 11.2% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 28.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.