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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+2.75vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+0.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+0.32vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.46+0.62vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79-0.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.10+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.32-2.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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2.21Brown University3.050.4%1st Place
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3.32Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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4.62Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.07Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 12.4% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 40.0% | 25.6% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 18.4% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack Crager | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 5.9% |
| Everett Nash | 10.1% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 43.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 28.6% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.