← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+1.19vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.32+2.87vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.26+0.30vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.79+0.07vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.46-0.38vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.93-2.22vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-0.44vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University0.10-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Brown University3.050.4%1st Place
-
4.87University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
-
3.3Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
-
4.07Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
-
4.62Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
-
3.78Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.61Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 40.8% | 26.2% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 7.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 17.3% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Everett Nash | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Jack Crager | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 13.0% | 4.6% |
| Clark Morris | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 26.1% | 41.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 26.2% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.