Race 4A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Natalie Salk 12.6% 10.2% 11.1% 11.5% 11.2% 10.2% 10.2% 9.1% 4.7% 4.9% 3.6% 0.7%
Morgan Russom 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 9.5% 6.6% 9.9% 9.4% 11.3% 13.0% 9.7% 4.0%
Emily Dellenbaugh 12.5% 11.5% 10.6% 10.6% 10.2% 10.4% 9.4% 8.8% 7.9% 5.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Lauren Cefali 4.1% 4.0% 5.2% 6.5% 5.8% 8.3% 7.4% 9.6% 10.8% 13.2% 17.0% 8.1%
Stephanie Hudson 13.2% 11.5% 12.6% 10.9% 9.4% 10.6% 7.9% 8.6% 7.0% 4.5% 3.4% 0.4%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.5% 7.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.2% 8.8% 9.3% 11.0% 10.8% 12.6% 8.9% 3.6%
Chandler Salisbury 9.5% 11.4% 10.2% 9.7% 9.5% 9.2% 10.3% 9.0% 8.6% 7.2% 3.7% 1.7%
Haley Powell 8.1% 7.7% 7.2% 8.2% 9.7% 6.6% 8.4% 10.3% 10.2% 10.9% 9.3% 3.4%
Claire Dennis 12.1% 13.1% 14.4% 10.4% 11.5% 9.5% 8.8% 7.5% 6.6% 3.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Hanna Vincent 11.3% 11.6% 11.3% 12.6% 9.7% 10.9% 9.6% 6.7% 7.0% 5.3% 3.3% 0.7%
Ann Sager 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 4.7% 6.2% 12.7% 63.6%
Erica Lush 3.3% 3.9% 3.1% 3.6% 5.0% 6.9% 6.2% 7.4% 10.4% 13.5% 23.8% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.