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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+2.04vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.97+2.61vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.75+0.25vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.85-0.21vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65-2.62vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.01-0.93vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.31-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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4.61Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.25College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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3.44Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.79University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
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3.38North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.07Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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7.41Embry-Riddle University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 23.2% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 4.2% |
| Grace Squires | 20.7% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 17.9% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Delisser | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 18.7% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| KA Hamner | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 38.5% | 18.3% |
| Sunny Odom | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 14.5% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.