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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.46+4.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.24+1.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.10+2.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.94-0.13vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.79+2.42vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.00-2.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.53vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.47+0.47vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.45-2.28vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.02-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Northeastern University0.468.9%1st Place
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3.13Brown University1.2425.0%1st Place
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5.37Boston University0.108.6%1st Place
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3.87Roger Williams University0.9416.4%1st Place
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7.42Salve Regina University-0.793.3%1st Place
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3.67Connecticut College1.0018.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.136.5%1st Place
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8.47Northwestern University-1.471.5%1st Place
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6.72Princeton University-0.454.2%1st Place
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5.76Northwestern University-0.027.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aidan Boni | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
Kaitlyn Hamilton | 25.0% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Renato Korzinek | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
Jakub Fuja | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Sean Morrison | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 24.4% | 21.2% |
William Hurd | 18.1% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Robert Finora | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
Marguerite Eno | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 51.0% |
Berkley Yiu | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 13.1% |
Cole Abbott | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.