Race 5A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.7% 10.7% 10.1% 11.9% 11.0% 11.4% 8.5% 9.1% 6.3% 6.0% 3.0% 0.3%
Chandler Salisbury 9.4% 9.4% 10.0% 9.8% 10.8% 7.7% 10.4% 8.9% 11.0% 7.1% 4.3% 1.2%
Claire Dennis 13.5% 11.2% 11.0% 12.2% 10.0% 9.3% 10.0% 8.8% 7.0% 4.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Hanna Vincent 10.2% 12.6% 12.3% 10.4% 10.0% 10.9% 8.7% 7.5% 7.3% 5.9% 3.2% 1.0%
Stephanie Hudson 12.7% 13.0% 11.8% 9.8% 10.7% 11.0% 8.3% 7.3% 6.5% 4.3% 4.2% 0.4%
Erica Lush 3.4% 3.3% 3.7% 6.2% 4.3% 4.9% 6.4% 7.6% 10.4% 13.9% 22.1% 13.8%
Natalie Salk 12.6% 13.1% 12.1% 10.0% 11.1% 8.8% 9.8% 7.4% 6.6% 4.7% 2.4% 1.4%
Haley Powell 7.8% 8.5% 7.3% 7.3% 8.6% 8.8% 10.5% 7.7% 10.2% 11.4% 8.2% 3.7%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.3% 6.2% 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 12.2% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 2.3%
Morgan Russom 6.7% 7.5% 6.6% 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 9.8% 11.0% 10.8% 11.3% 10.2% 3.5%
Lauren Cefali 4.6% 3.1% 5.9% 5.4% 5.2% 7.7% 6.7% 9.8% 10.6% 15.0% 17.7% 8.3%
Ann Sager 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 3.9% 6.5% 12.8% 63.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.