← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.18+5.28vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.51vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.35+2.88vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University0.70+6.91vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+2.14vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.69+2.16vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.12-0.70vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.51-2.60vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California0.64+2.11vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.93-2.73vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-5.37vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.90-4.67vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.08-3.16vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.28Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
5.51U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
5.88SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
-
10.91Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
-
7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
-
8.16Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.3Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.4Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
-
11.11University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
-
7.27Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
-
5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.33George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
-
9.84University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
-
8.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Trenton Shaw | 12.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 30.2% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Will Priebe | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 11.6% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 32.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 16.7% |
| Lars Osell | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.