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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.78vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.35+3.81vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+3.54vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.70vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+1.92vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.51-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.08+2.85vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+0.14vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.70+2.19vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90-2.44vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.48-2.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-3.42vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-5.91vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.93-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.81SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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6.54Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.92Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.6Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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8.14Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.19Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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7.56George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Southern California1.480.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Shaw | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Barnes | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Will Priebe | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 35.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% |
| Lars Osell | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.