Race 2B

truxtun-umstead

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones 16.7% 14.5% 14.9% 9.7% 12.2% 9.2% 6.1% 5.5% 4.1% 3.1% 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Luke Harris 6.4% 8.2% 8.7% 6.8% 6.2% 9.0% 7.0% 9.1% 9.2% 8.3% 8.0% 6.6% 3.2% 3.3%
Marcus Adam 3.3% 2.7% 2.8% 2.5% 5.3% 3.9% 5.4% 4.2% 6.0% 6.3% 8.6% 9.9% 17.7% 21.4%
Jasper Waldman 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 4.5% 4.3% 5.9% 6.2% 7.5% 10.2% 16.0% 30.2%
Pilar Cundey 4.4% 6.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 7.5% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 11.4% 9.2% 6.3% 5.6%
Jacob Zils 13.9% 12.8% 13.1% 12.8% 10.9% 8.4% 8.1% 5.5% 5.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Jedidiah Bechtel 6.1% 7.1% 7.6% 8.6% 5.6% 6.9% 8.8% 7.9% 9.3% 7.2% 7.7% 8.1% 6.0% 3.1%
Nathan Jensen 15.7% 16.3% 10.7% 11.1% 9.8% 8.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.0% 4.1% 1.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Tiare Sierra 6.5% 4.8% 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 9.0% 9.8% 8.4% 8.0% 9.3% 7.6% 7.2% 6.7% 3.2%
Gavin Sanborn 3.2% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 4.6% 6.1% 5.9% 7.0% 6.9% 7.9% 10.2% 11.1% 14.8% 13.0%
Joshua Dillon 5.6% 4.5% 6.9% 7.1% 6.3% 8.0% 7.2% 8.5% 9.5% 8.9% 8.5% 8.0% 6.4% 4.6%
Teddy Martin 9.1% 9.1% 7.5% 11.7% 9.8% 10.0% 9.0% 8.5% 6.6% 6.4% 4.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2%
Reed McAllister 3.9% 4.9% 5.3% 5.0% 4.9% 5.6% 6.7% 9.7% 8.0% 8.7% 9.0% 11.4% 8.3% 8.6%
Milo Miller 3.7% 4.2% 6.4% 5.1% 6.5% 5.5% 6.8% 7.0% 7.6% 10.5% 11.0% 9.9% 10.6% 5.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.