Race 3B

truxtun-umstead

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jacob Zils 14.8% 15.8% 13.3% 11.6% 8.7% 9.3% 8.0% 5.8% 4.4% 3.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Reed McAllister 4.3% 5.2% 5.1% 5.6% 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 9.0% 7.3% 8.5% 9.7% 11.0% 9.3% 7.4%
Jedidiah Bechtel 5.6% 5.7% 8.1% 6.3% 5.0% 7.3% 8.1% 9.1% 8.7% 7.0% 9.7% 8.1% 7.3% 4.0%
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones 14.8% 15.6% 12.5% 12.6% 10.6% 7.5% 8.4% 6.0% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Luke Harris 5.5% 5.0% 6.2% 8.7% 8.1% 7.4% 7.7% 7.4% 9.5% 8.2% 8.8% 7.3% 6.4% 3.8%
Marcus Adam 2.1% 3.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 3.5% 5.2% 7.1% 7.4% 9.0% 10.4% 17.1% 22.6%
Pilar Cundey 5.8% 6.1% 7.1% 5.4% 7.0% 7.1% 7.9% 9.7% 7.6% 8.7% 7.5% 7.5% 7.3% 5.3%
Teddy Martin 8.8% 10.9% 8.5% 9.0% 10.1% 9.4% 8.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 4.1% 3.2% 1.0%
Cooper Smith 4.5% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.3% 7.4% 7.5% 8.3% 9.9% 9.6% 10.7% 9.5% 7.3%
Tiare Sierra 6.1% 4.0% 6.6% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 7.2% 8.4% 8.1% 7.5% 9.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.4%
Jasper Waldman 2.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 5.7% 4.2% 5.3% 6.1% 8.5% 9.6% 16.3% 30.9%
Joshua Dillon 5.4% 6.0% 5.5% 5.9% 7.5% 7.3% 9.0% 8.3% 8.7% 10.3% 5.9% 8.3% 6.6% 5.3%
Nathan Jensen 16.7% 12.8% 13.0% 10.7% 10.9% 10.6% 6.3% 5.7% 5.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Milo Miller 3.6% 3.9% 5.6% 6.3% 5.9% 6.5% 5.9% 6.7% 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 10.7% 8.4% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.