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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+5.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+4.90vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+3.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+1.09vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50-0.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-1.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-1.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45-2.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.96vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21-1.66vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.04-2.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.98Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.97Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.07Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.74University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 3.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Erica Lush | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 13.7% |
| Ann Sager | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 63.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.