Race 4B

truxtun-umstead

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jacob Zils 14.9% 15.8% 13.0% 12.6% 9.6% 8.1% 7.1% 5.1% 4.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Luke Harris 5.9% 8.7% 6.8% 8.6% 6.2% 6.9% 8.7% 7.7% 9.8% 9.1% 7.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.7%
Nathan Jensen 16.2% 14.3% 12.6% 10.4% 10.5% 9.3% 7.4% 6.6% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Tiare Sierra 4.8% 6.0% 8.0% 6.5% 8.4% 6.7% 7.8% 9.3% 8.3% 7.7% 9.5% 6.8% 6.6% 3.6%
Teddy Martin 7.6% 8.3% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 9.8% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 6.4% 6.2% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5%
Milo Miller 4.4% 3.4% 4.2% 5.6% 4.8% 5.9% 7.4% 6.2% 8.7% 8.4% 9.0% 10.2% 11.1% 10.7%
Reed McAllister 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 5.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.9% 9.5% 7.5% 8.3% 8.6% 10.4% 8.3% 9.1%
Joshua Dillon 5.9% 7.1% 5.9% 6.4% 7.7% 6.3% 7.9% 7.9% 8.2% 8.7% 8.0% 6.9% 7.4% 5.7%
Jedidiah Bechtel 6.6% 4.7% 4.6% 6.7% 6.6% 8.5% 8.8% 8.6% 8.7% 9.1% 9.3% 7.1% 6.7% 4.0%
Pilar Cundey 5.1% 4.9% 4.5% 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 7.0% 6.6% 9.2% 9.4% 9.3% 8.8% 7.8% 5.8%
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones 15.7% 12.2% 14.4% 11.2% 11.4% 9.5% 7.6% 6.2% 3.7% 3.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% 2.8% 2.1% 4.4% 3.0% 4.4% 5.1% 6.1% 8.1% 11.8% 16.9% 29.6%
Cooper Smith 4.3% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 6.3% 7.4% 8.4% 7.6% 10.1% 8.1% 10.1% 9.0% 8.0%
Marcus Adam 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 2.9% 4.1% 4.8% 5.2% 5.4% 4.7% 6.5% 9.5% 13.2% 16.9% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.