Race 5B

truxtun-umstead

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Luke Harris 6.3% 6.3% 9.0% 7.2% 8.4% 8.7% 7.9% 7.6% 7.2% 9.4% 7.2% 6.3% 5.5% 3.0%
Jacob Zils 17.4% 15.3% 13.7% 11.3% 10.4% 9.1% 8.1% 5.0% 3.5% 2.9% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Nathan Jensen 16.8% 15.2% 13.2% 10.1% 9.9% 9.7% 7.3% 5.7% 5.0% 3.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Reed McAllister 3.6% 3.9% 5.7% 6.9% 5.5% 7.0% 6.4% 6.7% 8.0% 9.7% 8.4% 10.5% 10.8% 6.9%
JJ Klempen 11.7% 13.9% 13.1% 12.3% 10.4% 8.5% 8.2% 6.5% 5.9% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Teddy Martin 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 9.0% 10.1% 9.3% 8.0% 9.4% 6.0% 7.1% 5.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8%
Marcus Adam 2.5% 2.6% 4.0% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.6% 6.3% 8.0% 8.7% 11.2% 14.5% 18.5%
Sam Riley 5.6% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 5.5% 7.3% 6.6% 8.1% 7.4% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 8.4% 7.3%
Maya Conway 4.2% 3.2% 2.8% 3.9% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 7.7% 8.8% 8.9% 11.0% 10.3% 12.2% 12.1%
Tiare Sierra 5.6% 6.8% 5.5% 6.8% 8.1% 7.6% 9.1% 9.5% 8.0% 7.8% 8.6% 8.4% 5.4% 2.8%
Jedidiah Bechtel 6.5% 5.7% 5.6% 7.4% 7.9% 7.7% 9.1% 6.6% 9.3% 7.5% 8.5% 7.9% 6.2% 4.1%
Joshua Dillon 4.9% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.2% 6.5% 8.7% 8.9% 10.5% 8.4% 7.0% 7.2% 6.1% 4.6%
Gavin Sanborn 3.7% 4.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 7.1% 8.6% 8.7% 10.4% 10.6% 10.9% 12.5%
Jasper Waldman 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 3.6% 2.7% 4.4% 4.4% 5.6% 5.5% 5.3% 8.8% 11.1% 16.0% 26.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.