Race 8B

truxtun-umstead

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tiare Sierra 6.2% 6.2% 8.8% 7.7% 8.0% 8.5% 7.1% 7.1% 9.6% 8.4% 7.0% 6.7% 5.3% 3.4%
Nathan Jensen 16.4% 15.8% 12.6% 13.7% 9.9% 9.2% 6.2% 6.6% 3.6% 2.3% 1.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Jacob Zils 16.2% 15.5% 12.4% 12.1% 10.6% 7.6% 7.6% 6.9% 5.0% 2.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 3.5% 3.8% 6.9% 5.3% 5.9% 6.0% 7.0% 6.9% 9.1% 7.8% 10.2% 9.9% 10.5% 7.2%
Teddy Martin 7.8% 10.3% 9.0% 10.5% 10.5% 8.2% 9.2% 7.4% 7.3% 7.1% 6.4% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1%
JJ Klempen 13.8% 13.5% 11.9% 11.3% 8.8% 11.6% 7.6% 6.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Luke Harris 7.2% 8.4% 6.9% 8.2% 7.3% 8.4% 8.3% 9.3% 7.5% 7.9% 7.2% 6.5% 4.4% 2.5%
Jedidiah Bechtel 6.6% 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 8.7% 5.6% 9.1% 8.1% 8.3% 8.7% 8.0% 8.1% 5.2% 4.1%
Joshua Dillon 6.1% 5.0% 6.8% 5.8% 6.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.0% 10.6% 7.3% 8.0% 9.1% 5.9% 3.0%
Sam Riley 4.6% 4.1% 5.0% 4.6% 8.7% 5.7% 7.0% 7.9% 8.0% 9.5% 9.1% 9.3% 9.3% 7.2%
Gavin Sanborn 3.5% 2.5% 3.9% 4.0% 4.6% 6.5% 6.6% 5.7% 7.5% 8.2% 10.3% 12.5% 11.6% 12.6%
Maya Conway 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 3.5% 3.8% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 8.2% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 10.6% 13.3%
Marcus Adam 2.7% 3.3% 2.8% 3.6% 4.0% 3.2% 4.9% 6.4% 6.1% 8.6% 9.4% 10.3% 15.7% 19.0%
Jasper Waldman 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 2.6% 4.7% 4.3% 6.1% 4.5% 6.7% 7.5% 9.8% 18.3% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.