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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+7.45vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+4.33vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.57+6.17vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+2.71vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.35-1.21vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.66vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.83+1.29vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44-1.51vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.30-2.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.87-4.88vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37-4.31vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.34-2.32vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.07-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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4.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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7.33University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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10.17SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
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7.71George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.79Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.0Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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10.68Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Luke Harris | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 21.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 16.5% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Teddy Martin | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 29.8% |
| Milo Miller | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.