Race 10B

truxtun-umstead

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jacob Zils 15.8% 14.9% 13.6% 11.2% 9.8% 8.8% 6.6% 5.1% 6.7% 2.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.3%
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones 16.4% 15.5% 13.8% 11.7% 11.2% 9.1% 8.1% 5.2% 3.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Milo Miller 4.9% 4.1% 4.8% 6.3% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 7.5% 7.2% 8.5% 10.9% 10.0% 12.0% 7.2%
Tiare Sierra 4.7% 7.1% 6.6% 7.2% 8.1% 8.0% 8.2% 7.1% 9.7% 8.6% 7.7% 8.6% 4.5% 3.9%
Marcus Adam 2.0% 1.9% 3.5% 2.8% 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 5.2% 6.4% 8.0% 8.8% 10.7% 15.2% 21.7%
Nathan Jensen 13.5% 14.3% 12.9% 12.3% 9.5% 8.8% 6.9% 7.8% 5.0% 3.5% 2.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 6.9% 6.8% 6.3% 7.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.3% 8.5% 9.4% 8.1% 8.2% 7.0% 6.7% 3.1%
Reed McAllister 4.7% 4.3% 5.1% 5.7% 6.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.5% 7.2% 8.8% 9.1% 11.1% 8.8% 9.5%
Teddy Martin 9.0% 7.5% 9.1% 9.1% 11.2% 10.1% 8.2% 8.8% 7.6% 6.7% 5.3% 3.7% 3.0% 0.7%
Jasper Waldman 2.4% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.5% 3.6% 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 8.2% 8.1% 10.6% 16.3% 28.9%
Gavin Sanborn 3.0% 3.4% 2.5% 3.5% 5.4% 5.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.3% 8.4% 10.3% 11.7% 13.0% 13.9%
Luke Harris 5.6% 6.1% 6.6% 7.2% 9.3% 7.5% 8.7% 9.0% 9.0% 8.3% 6.1% 6.6% 6.6% 3.4%
Pilar Cundey 5.3% 6.3% 6.2% 5.9% 6.3% 7.4% 9.3% 7.7% 8.0% 9.3% 8.9% 7.8% 7.1% 4.5%
Jedidiah Bechtel 5.8% 6.1% 6.9% 8.0% 6.0% 7.8% 8.6% 9.7% 7.4% 8.5% 9.6% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.