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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.26+5.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.69vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.26+3.89vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43+1.14vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.31-3.41vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.36+3.31vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.60+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+0.58vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.35-3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57-5.29vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.95-2.34vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.14-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Dartmouth College2.450.3%1st Place
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7.89University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.69Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.89Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.14Middlebury College0.430.0%1st Place
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2.59Dartmouth College2.310.3%1st Place
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10.31University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.64Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.42University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.66University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.07Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 33.8% | 27.0% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Grant Adam | 13.8% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Walter Chiles | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 30.3% | 25.5% | 20.4% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 28.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 6.3% |
| Kai Latham | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 16.6% |
| Sam Harris | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.