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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+1.40vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.57+2.88vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.31-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.36+4.45vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.95+2.45vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.60+0.66vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.26-1.06vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.64-6.35vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.62vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-1.14-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.26-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Dartmouth College2.450.3%1st Place
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6.19Middlebury College0.430.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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2.62Dartmouth College2.310.3%1st Place
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6.29University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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10.45University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.45University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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8.66Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.94Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.65Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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9.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.14Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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7.94University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 32.8% | 29.9% | 17.9% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 29.2% | 25.1% | 21.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Devyn Weed | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 29.7% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 14.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Andrew White | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Grant Adam | 15.2% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.8% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 23.5% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.