Race 3A

central-unh

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grant Adam 14.4% 18.0% 18.1% 18.9% 12.3% 10.4% 4.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Drulard 30.3% 26.5% 20.7% 10.7% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 3.7% 5.5% 10.7% 10.8% 14.0% 13.0% 14.7% 10.8% 7.9% 4.5% 2.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Walter Chiles 3.5% 6.6% 6.6% 10.8% 13.1% 15.0% 10.5% 11.1% 10.5% 6.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Oliver Hurwitz 34.7% 27.4% 18.2% 11.1% 4.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew White 1.7% 3.4% 4.7% 6.3% 7.0% 9.2% 12.2% 12.4% 12.3% 11.0% 9.5% 7.2% 3.1%
Ted Richardsson 2.7% 2.7% 4.4% 5.9% 7.6% 9.2% 9.8% 11.3% 12.7% 12.0% 11.1% 7.0% 3.6%
Devyn Weed 0.9% 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.7% 6.0% 7.4% 10.5% 13.6% 18.1% 28.7%
Sam Harris 4.1% 5.0% 6.7% 10.8% 13.0% 12.0% 12.5% 12.0% 9.1% 7.5% 4.2% 2.4% 0.7%
Felix Nusbaum 1.6% 1.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.0% 6.2% 10.3% 11.6% 10.1% 12.1% 13.1% 11.0% 9.6%
Brendan OBrien 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 3.3% 5.8% 6.2% 5.7% 8.4% 10.6% 13.1% 14.5% 15.6% 13.2%
Miguel Sanchez Navarro 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 2.8% 3.8% 4.6% 6.5% 6.0% 8.3% 9.5% 15.0% 17.0% 23.8%
Kai Latham 1.1% 0.5% 2.3% 2.4% 4.1% 5.0% 6.8% 7.7% 9.7% 12.8% 12.3% 18.5% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.