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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.81+5.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+3.07vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+0.99vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+1.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.82vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-3.06vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-3.34vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-5.08vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-4.35vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.21-3.40vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.04-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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4.92Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.72University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Russom | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 14.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Haley Powell | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 9.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Erica Lush | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 23.5% | 14.1% |
| Ann Sager | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.