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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.01+2.37vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-0.79+5.21vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+3.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.94-0.43vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.10+0.19vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.00-2.51vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.46-2.00vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.02-2.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.10vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.47-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Brown University1.0121.6%1st Place
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7.21Salve Regina University-0.793.1%1st Place
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6.37Princeton University-0.455.1%1st Place
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3.57Roger Williams University0.9419.6%1st Place
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5.19Boston University0.107.3%1st Place
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3.49Connecticut College1.0019.4%1st Place
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5.0Northeastern University0.469.8%1st Place
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5.5Northwestern University-0.028.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.3%1st Place
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8.39Northwestern University-1.471.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sidney Moyer | 21.6% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Sean Morrison | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 19.4% |
Berkley Yiu | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 9.6% |
Jakub Fuja | 19.6% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Renato Korzinek | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
William Hurd | 19.4% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Aidan Boni | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
Cole Abbott | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
Oscar Gilroy | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 15.2% |
Marguerite Eno | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.