Race 4A

central-unh

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Oliver Hurwitz 33.2% 28.1% 18.2% 11.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Adam 15.2% 18.0% 19.3% 17.0% 13.1% 8.0% 5.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Drulard 28.6% 27.0% 19.0% 12.0% 7.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Harris 3.4% 4.1% 8.2% 9.6% 14.3% 12.2% 11.7% 10.9% 9.6% 8.7% 4.0% 2.5% 0.8%
Andrew White 3.1% 2.4% 4.1% 5.9% 8.6% 9.2% 11.0% 10.8% 12.6% 11.6% 8.7% 8.8% 3.2%
Wilfred Hynes 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 4.0% 3.4% 5.5% 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 11.5% 15.1% 17.1% 12.8%
Caitlin Derby 5.7% 6.2% 9.7% 11.6% 12.6% 13.3% 13.3% 10.7% 8.1% 4.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Walter Chiles 4.0% 6.0% 6.8% 10.2% 12.1% 15.3% 13.7% 11.4% 9.8% 4.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Ted Richardsson 2.2% 2.2% 5.2% 5.3% 5.6% 9.3% 10.5% 13.6% 9.8% 13.0% 10.5% 7.2% 5.6%
Kai Latham 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 4.4% 6.1% 7.9% 9.1% 12.3% 15.4% 14.8% 17.9%
Felix Nusbaum 1.3% 1.2% 3.1% 5.0% 7.1% 6.7% 8.9% 10.5% 12.6% 13.3% 12.1% 11.2% 7.0%
Brendan OBrien 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 3.0% 3.6% 6.2% 5.8% 6.9% 9.7% 10.1% 15.3% 18.1% 17.7%
Devyn Weed 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 3.3% 5.8% 8.0% 9.3% 11.9% 17.5% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.