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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.39+3.31vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-1.06+5.71vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.58+0.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.53-0.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College0.60-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.60+0.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.27-2.47vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.62-1.38vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-3.12+1.61vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.99-1.33vs Predicted
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12Williams College-2.12-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.61-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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7.71Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
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3.95Dartmouth College0.530.2%1st Place
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3.85Dartmouth College0.600.2%1st Place
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6.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.53Brown University0.270.1%1st Place
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6.62Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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7.12University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.61University of New Hampshire-3.120.0%1st Place
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9.67Middlebury College-1.990.0%1st Place
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10.14Williams College-2.120.0%1st Place
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10.99University of New Hampshire-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 13.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 15.4% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 16.4% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 18.7% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sargent | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Melo | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 49.3% |
| Clare Rados | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 8.5% |
| Charles Maier | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 22.5% | 13.2% |
| Devon Valenta | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 28.7% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.