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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.27+3.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.60+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+1.35vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.53-0.01vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.62+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.60+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.58-3.15vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.06-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.61+0.87vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.99-1.32vs Predicted
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12Williams College-2.12-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-3.12-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Brown University0.270.1%1st Place
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3.83Dartmouth College0.600.2%1st Place
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4.35University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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3.99Dartmouth College0.530.2%1st Place
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6.58Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
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7.67Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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7.12University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.87University of New Hampshire-2.610.0%1st Place
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9.68Middlebury College-1.990.0%1st Place
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10.16Williams College-2.120.0%1st Place
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11.71University of New Hampshire-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 16.8% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 17.1% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Cunniff | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Sargent | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 18.7% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Devon Valenta | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 27.5% | 26.1% |
| Clare Rados | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 8.7% |
| Charles Maier | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 22.0% | 22.7% | 13.1% |
| Morgan Melo | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 22.4% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.