Race 3B

central-unh

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
James Sullivan 13.7% 15.7% 12.8% 14.0% 11.8% 12.5% 8.2% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Ava Hurwitz 17.8% 15.9% 16.8% 14.4% 12.6% 8.3% 7.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Cunniff 4.6% 4.4% 5.9% 8.7% 9.4% 10.4% 12.5% 13.3% 13.9% 10.7% 3.8% 2.2% 0.2%
Jean-Luc Depardieu 12.0% 11.9% 14.6% 12.1% 13.2% 12.2% 9.9% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 18.1% 15.8% 15.4% 13.1% 13.3% 9.9% 6.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Sargent 6.1% 5.1% 6.8% 6.8% 9.5% 11.1% 12.8% 12.4% 12.8% 9.3% 5.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Brett Tardie 4.2% 4.0% 4.4% 5.0% 6.4% 6.3% 9.3% 14.5% 14.9% 13.7% 11.3% 5.0% 1.0%
Sonja Krajewski 4.5% 6.1% 4.8% 7.2% 6.4% 9.6% 11.1% 14.6% 14.0% 11.8% 7.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Michael Hanrahan 16.1% 17.3% 14.2% 12.9% 11.0% 11.0% 8.7% 4.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Clare Rados 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 3.6% 4.1% 7.3% 9.6% 16.8% 21.3% 18.7% 9.0%
Devon Valenta 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 3.1% 4.6% 6.1% 11.0% 19.4% 27.6% 22.1%
Morgan Melo 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 4.2% 6.3% 10.1% 20.2% 52.2%
Charles Maier 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 4.6% 5.8% 9.4% 15.0% 19.3% 22.0% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.