← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Williams College-2.12+8.97vs Predicted
-
2Brown University0.27+2.61vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.58+0.91vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University-0.62+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College0.53-1.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.60+0.59vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College0.60-3.23vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire0.39-3.75vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.89vs Predicted
-
10Bentley University-1.06-2.29vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College-1.99-1.30vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-2.61-1.03vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-3.12-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.97Williams College-2.120.0%1st Place
-
4.61Brown University0.270.1%1st Place
-
3.91University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
-
6.72Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
-
3.95Dartmouth College0.530.2%1st Place
-
6.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.77Dartmouth College0.600.2%1st Place
-
4.25University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
-
7.11University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
-
7.71Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
-
9.7Middlebury College-1.990.0%1st Place
-
10.97University of New Hampshire-2.610.0%1st Place
-
11.73University of New Hampshire-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Maier | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 21.3% | 22.0% | 10.4% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 17.7% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sargent | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 18.7% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 13.9% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Brett Tardie | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Clare Rados | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 8.0% |
| Devon Valenta | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 27.6% | 28.4% |
| Morgan Melo | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 21.9% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.