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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.20+5.51vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.13+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.28+3.44vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.70+1.29vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61-1.88vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.48-2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+4.87vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.54+0.85vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.16vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.97-0.64vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-1.18vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-0.41vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.81-4.08vs Predicted
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15Indiana University-0.67-5.51vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.29-4.55vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-2.56vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-2.21-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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4.1University of South Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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6.44University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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3.12Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.47North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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11.87University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.85Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.36Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.82Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.59Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.92William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.49Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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14.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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14.12University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Montague | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 25.6% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 19.9% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 6.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| William Mullray | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% |
| Julia Hudson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 35.2% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.