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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.70+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.28+3.44vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.48-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.13-0.92vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.20+0.80vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+3.71vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.54+0.81vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.81-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.29+0.37vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.97-1.49vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-3.02vs Predicted
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14Indiana University-0.67-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-2.96vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.50vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-2.21-2.89vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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5.17University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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3.48North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.08University of South Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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6.8The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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10.71Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.81Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.98William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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10.51Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.98SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.44Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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12.5Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.11University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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14.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 25.4% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 21.0% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 15.2% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Henry Powell | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.4% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 28.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 18.8% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.