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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University-1.02+9.30vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.70+2.46vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.28+1.69vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-1.55vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+1.99vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20-2.26vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.67-0.63vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-1.14-1.29vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-0.84vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.81-4.17vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-2.22vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-2.21-3.44vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.61-14.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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3.58North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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5.46University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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5.29Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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4.45University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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9.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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6.74The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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9.37Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.66Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.16Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.83William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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13.56University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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3.43Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Roou | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Robert Chase | 22.0% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 13.0% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| William Mullray | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 13.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 37.3% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 32.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 22.6% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.