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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.48+2.54vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.13+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.70+1.56vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.28+0.72vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-1.02+3.47vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-1.14+2.63vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20-2.18vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.81-0.12vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-0.85vs Predicted
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14Indiana University-0.67-4.60vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-4.44vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-2.24vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-6.96vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-2.21-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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5.18Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.39University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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10.47Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.82The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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9.88William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.15Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.4Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.56Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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10.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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13.56University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 21.7% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 23.0% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 3.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 14.3% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| William Mullray | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 20.9% | 36.8% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.