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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Dartmouth College3.23+3.77vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+3.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+1.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45-0.85vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92-0.40vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-3.10vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86-3.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.36vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21-4.41vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.04-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.15Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.9Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.71University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Haley Powell | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 2.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 7.6% |
| Erica Lush | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 15.6% |
| Ann Sager | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.