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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.13+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.28+3.02vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61-0.95vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.48-2.64vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-1.02+2.68vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.79-4.18vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.70-4.95vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.35vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-1.14-1.97vs Predicted
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13Indiana University-0.67-4.24vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.85-4.72vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-5.68vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-3.05vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-7.21vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-2.21-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of South Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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3.05Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.36North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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9.68Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.82Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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11.35Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.76Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.28SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.32William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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9.79Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.49University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 24.9% | 22.1% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 22.1% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 10.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 12.5% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 39.6% |
| William Mullray | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 22.5% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.