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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.28+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.13+0.88vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.48-0.76vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.54+2.36vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.67+1.82vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.29+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.70-5.09vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.97-1.30vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.97vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.81-4.93vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-1.58vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.66-4.18vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-2.21-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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5.94University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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3.24North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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8.36Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.82Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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9.7Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.87Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.07William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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11.82Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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13.2University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 27.3% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 16.4% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 21.9% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| William Mullray | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Henry Powell | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 34.3% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 12.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.