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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.70+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.28+2.95vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.48-0.73vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.81+3.18vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.97+2.73vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+1.37vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.54-0.80vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.67-1.36vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.13-7.02vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.29-3.44vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.66-3.38vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-2.44vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-2.21-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.86University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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3.27North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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9.18William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.73Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.37SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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8.2Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.64Indiana University-0.670.0%1st Place
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3.98University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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9.9Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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11.62Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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13.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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13.19University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 27.8% | 22.9% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 11.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 22.1% | 20.7% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 14.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Henry Powell | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 36.2% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.