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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.38vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.86+4.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.54+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.06-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.84+4.16vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.66-0.30vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-2.05+2.48vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-2.07+1.86vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.73-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.43vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-2.02-1.40vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.82-5.85vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.07vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-3.93+0.06vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-3.42-1.75vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-3.56-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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2.44Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
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7.28University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.02University of South Florida0.540.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.7Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.48Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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10.86The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.71Embry-Riddle University-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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10.6Florida Institute of Technology-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.15Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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15.06SUNY Stony Brook-3.930.0%1st Place
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14.25University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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14.53William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 32.0% | 29.6% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 31.2% | 27.6% | 21.5% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 13.4% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Conner Hedge | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Lara Sloep | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| William Avery | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Rebekah Rothleder | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 21.3% | 42.2% |
| Megan Miller | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 23.3% | 21.1% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 23.2% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.